Statewise Comparison of Vote Share in Indian Elections 2024 vs. 2019

The Indian general elections of 2024 have concluded, presenting a fascinating shift in the political dynamics of the country. A detailed analysis of the statewise vote share reveals significant changes compared to the 2019 elections, offering insights into the evolving political landscape of India. At Bharat New Zealand News, we present an in-depth comparison of the vote share in key states, exploring the trends and factors influencing these changes.

Uttar Pradesh: A Stronghold Reinforced

In Uttar Pradesh, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) has not only maintained but increased its dominance. In 2019, the BJP secured approximately 49.5% of the vote share, a figure that has risen to 52% in 2024. This increase can be attributed to the party’s focused development initiatives and robust grassroots campaigning. The Samajwadi Party (SP) and Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) witnessed a decline in their combined vote share, reflecting a consolidation of votes towards the BJP.

West Bengal: A Political Shift

West Bengal has witnessed a notable shift in its political landscape. The Trinamool Congress (TMC), which had a vote share of 43.3% in 2019, saw a reduction to 39% in 2024. Meanwhile, the BJP’s vote share has increased from 40.3% to 42%, reflecting growing support for the party in the state. This shift indicates a more competitive political environment and growing discontent with the TMC’s governance.

Maharashtra: Stability Amidst Change

In Maharashtra, the vote share for the BJP-Shiv Sena alliance remains relatively stable. The alliance, which secured around 51.6% of the vote share in 2019, garnered 50.5% in 2024. The slight dip is due to internal frictions and the emergence of smaller regional parties. The Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) and Indian National Congress (INC) alliance saw a marginal increase from 41.3% to 42%, reflecting a steady support base amidst the changing political dynamics.

Tamil Nadu: Regional Powerhouse

Tamil Nadu continues to be dominated by regional parties. The Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) alliance, which secured 52.6% of the vote share in 2019, increased to 54% in 2024. This growth underscores the party’s stronghold and effective governance. The All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (AIADMK) alliance saw a decrease from 33.3% to 30%, indicating challenges in retaining its voter base.

Bihar: Shifting Alliances

Bihar’s political landscape has experienced significant shifts. The BJP-Janata Dal (United) [JD(U)] alliance, which had a combined vote share of 53.2% in 2019, saw a reduction to 49% in 2024. The Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD)-Congress alliance gained traction, increasing their vote share from 33.4% to 37%. The shifting alliances and changing voter preferences reflect a dynamic political scenario in the state.

Kerala: A Consistent Trend

In Kerala, the political trends remain consistent. The Left Democratic Front (LDF), which secured 45.2% of the vote share in 2019, maintained a similar figure in 2024 at 45.5%. The United Democratic Front (UDF) saw a slight increase from 40.8% to 41%. The BJP, despite efforts to make inroads, continued to hold a marginal position with a vote share around 12%.

Rajasthan: A Swing State

Rajasthan has shown considerable changes in vote share. The BJP’s vote share decreased from 58.5% in 2019 to 54% in 2024. The INC, on the other hand, increased its share from 34.2% to 38%, indicating a resurgence in voter support. This shift highlights Rajasthan as a swing state with fluctuating political allegiances.

 

The comparison of statewise vote share between the 2019 and 2024 Indian general elections underscores the evolving political dynamics across the country. Factors such as development initiatives, governance, alliance formations, and voter sentiment have played crucial roles in shaping these outcomes. At Bharat New Zealand News, we remain committed to providing comprehensive analyses and insights into the political trends that define India’s democracy.

 

 

Dr. Tulip Duncan

Dr. Tulip Duncan

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