Election Results 2024: Early Trends

PartyWonLeadingTotal
Bharatiya Janata Party – BJP1237238
Indian National Congress – INC09797
Samajwadi Party – SP03434
All India Trinamool Congress – AITC02929
Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam – DMK02121
Telugu Desam – TDP01616
Janata Dal (United) – JD(U)01414
Shiv Sena (Uddhav Balasaheb Thackrey) – SHSUBT01010
Nationalist Congress Party – Sharadchandra Pawar – NCPSP088
Shiv Sena – SHS066
Rashtriya Janata Dal – RJD055
Lok Janshakti Party(Ram Vilas) – LJPRV055
Communist Party of India (Marxist) – CPI(M)055
Yuvajana Sramika Rythu Congress Party – YSRCP044
Janata Dal (Secular) – JD(S)033
Indian Union Muslim League – IUML033
Biju Janata Dal – BJD033
Aam Aadmi Party – AAAP033
Janasena Party – JnP022
Communist Party of India (Marxist-Leninist) (Liberation) – CPI(ML)(L)022
Viduthalai Chiruthaigal Katchi – VCK022
Communist Party of India – CPI022
Rashtriya Lok Dal – RLD022
Jharkhand Mukti Morcha – JMM022
Jammu & Kashmir National Conference – JKN022
United People’s Party, Liberal – UPPL011
Asom Gana Parishad – AGP011
Hindustani Awam Morcha (Secular) – HAMS011
Kerala Congress – KEC011
Revolutionary Socialist Party – RSP011
Nationalist Congress Party – NCP011
Naga Peoples Front – NPF011
Voice of the People Party – VOTPP011
Zoram People’s Movement – ZPM011
Shiromani Akali Dal – SAD011
Rashtriya Loktantrik Party – RLTP011
Bharat Adivasi Party – BHRTADVSIP011
Sikkim Krantikari Morcha – SKM011
Pattali Makkal Katchi – PMK011
Marumalarchi Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam – MDMK011
Desiya Murpokku Dravida Kazhagam – DMDK011
Aazad Samaj Party (Kanshi Ram) – ASPKR011
AJSU Party – AJSUP011
All India Majlis-E-Ittehadul Muslimeen – AIMIM011
Independent – IND066
Total1542543

 

In the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, India has witnessed dynamic shifts and significant trends across various states. Early trends indicate that the BJP-led NDA is maintaining a strong lead, though the opposition alliance, INDIA, is making substantial gains compared to the 2019 elections.

Key Trends and Results:

  1. National Overview:
    • As of the latest updates, the BJP-led NDA is leading with 287 seats, while the INDIA alliance has secured 220 seats. This shows a notable increase for the INDIA bloc, which is up by 82 seats from its 2019 tally​ (Business Today)​​ (Free Press Journal)​.
  2. State-specific Trends:
    • Rajasthan: The BJP is leading in 13 out of 25 seats, while the Congress is leading in 9 seats. This is a significant contest given Rajasthan’s history of favoring BJP in the past two general elections​ (Free Press Journal)​.
    • Punjab: The Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) and Congress are projected to win 5 seats each, with BJP expected to secure 2 seats​ (India Today)​.
    • Tamil Nadu: The INDIA bloc is predicted to win all 39 seats, continuing its dominance in the state​ (India Today)​.
    • Uttar Pradesh: The NDA is projected to win 72 seats, with the INDIA bloc likely to secure 8 seats, highlighting NDA’s stronghold in the state​ (India Today)​.
    • West Bengal: Mamata Banerjee’s Trinamool Congress is likely to win 22 seats, while the BJP is expected to bag 9 seats​ (India Today)​.
    • Jammu & Kashmir: The INDIA bloc is leading with 3 out of 5 seats, reflecting a significant voter turnout and political engagement in the region​ (India Today)​.
  3. Market Reactions:
    • The financial markets have reacted to the early trends, with Sensex and Nifty experiencing a significant drop. This decline is attributed to the unexpected gains by the opposition INDIA alliance, causing uncertainty among investors. The Sensex fell by 2.62%, and Nifty dropped by 2.81%​ (Business Today)​.

The 2024 Lok Sabha elections are proving to be a highly competitive and transformative event in Indian politics. The strong performance of the INDIA alliance, especially in states like Punjab and Tamil Nadu, indicates a shift in voter sentiment. Meanwhile, the NDA’s robust presence in states like Uttar Pradesh and Gujarat showcases its enduring influence.

Dr. Tulip Duncan

Dr. Tulip Duncan

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